Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
LEX
0 - 1
FCP
24%
29%
47%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
FCP
1 - 3
ATL
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCP
29%
28%
43%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
NAN
1 - 1
FCP
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
FCP
6 - 0
BOA
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 0
FAR
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ACA
4 - 1
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
ACA
1 - 4
WOL
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
BEL
0 - 1
ACA
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |