Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 1
FCP
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
FCP
3 - 1
HIB
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAB
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
TIR
1 - 3
FCP
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
HIB
3 - 0
FCP
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPB
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACA
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAB
81%
13%
7%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
TIR
0 - 4
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |