Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 1
FCP
21%
23%
57%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCP
5 - 0
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ACA
2 - 0
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SPB
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
50%
23%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |