Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAB
85%
9%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
ATL
0 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPC
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
FCP
2 - 1
BOA
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 0
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
SPC
4 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |