Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 2
FCP
12%
18%
71%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
FCP
6 - 1
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
FAB
1 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
55%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
LGC
1 - 2
FCP
26%
23%
52%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 1
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACA
1 - 2
BEL
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACA
82%
12%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |