Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 2
SPB
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 3
FCP
10%
16%
74%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
FCP
3 - 0
FCB
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
ORI
1 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
59%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
48%
21%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
FCB
4 - 1
ACA
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ACA
3 - 1
ORI
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
ACA
6 - 1
VST
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |