Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 1
LGC
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 3
FCP
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
FCP
10 - 1
FCB
82%
12%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |