Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 1
LGC
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 3
FCP
13%
19%
68%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
FCP
10 - 1
FCB
82%
12%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACA
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |