Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
37%
21%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
SPB
0 - 1
ACA
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPC
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 2
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |