Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
11.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCP
30%
23%
47%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
4 - 1
VIT
79%
12%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
EST
1 - 2
FCP
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
39%
21%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ACA
8 - 1
SAL
84%
10%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
BOA
3 - 0
ACA
54%
20%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
2 - 0
ORI
73%
14%
13%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |