Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
3.4%
6-3
1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
4.9%
5-3
1.8%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
13.2%
13.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FCP
2 - 4
SCP
33%
19%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
EST
3 - 1
FCP
39%
21%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCP
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
19%
17%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
81%
11%
9%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
51%
19%
30%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
6 - 1
ACA
63%
17%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ACA
5 - 2
SAN
90%
6%
4%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |