Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.8%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
9.4%
7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
40%
20%
40%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
FCP
35%
20%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
FCP
2 - 2
VST
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
VIT
1 - 2
FCP
27%
20%
54%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 4
FCP
13%
16%
72%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
ACA
5 - 2
BOA
73%
14%
13%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
SLB
7 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ACA
1 - 3
BEL
23%
19%
58%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |