Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
3.5%
6-3
1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
4.7%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
15.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
10.7%
9.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 4
FAB
91%
6%
3%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 6
UNI
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
SLB
12 - 2
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 2
OLH
92%
5%
3%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
LEX
0 - 4
FCP
13%
16%
71%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
OLH
5 - 2
ACA
45%
21%
33%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACA
4 - 0
VIT
66%
16%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
UNI
7 - 4
ACA
50%
20%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
SCP
2 - 4
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 4
BEL
41%
21%
39%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |