Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
4.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
APO
0 - 2
FCP
8%
13%
79%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 4
FCP
11%
16%
73%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
4 - 2
SLB
66%
16%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 4
ACA
46%
22%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
92%
5%
3%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 2
APO
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |