Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
SCP
4 - 4
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
4 - 0
APO
90%
6%
3%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
15%
18%
67%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
13%
18%
70%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 2
ACA
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 1
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
15%
18%
67%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
8 - 1
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |