Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
CAR
0 - 1
FCP
22%
20%
59%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
6 - 1
LEX
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACA
2 - 3
BEL
19%
18%
62%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
15%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |