Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
9 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
36%
22%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
4 - 2
CAR
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 5
FCP
33%
22%
46%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
3 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 3
ACA
69%
16%
14%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
39%
22%
39%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |