Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 2
FCP
56%
20%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
FCP
7 - 0
APO
82%
11%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
FCP
7 - 4
ULI
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
FCP
3 - 2
VST
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
ACA
3 - 0
CAR
48%
22%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
ULI
1 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
ACA
0 - 1
VST
46%
22%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
ACA
2 - 1
APO
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |