Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Porto vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 2
ACA
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 0
FCP
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
FCP
3 - 1
LEX
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
56%
22%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
S04
2 - 2
MUN
36%
24%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
MUN
3 - 1
BRE
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
KOL
1 - 1
MUN
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
MUN
1 - 0
STU
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
NEU
3 - 0
MUN
39%
22%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |