Porto SC vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 4
TUB
15%
22%
62%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FFC
2 - 5
POR
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
TUB
14%
21%
65%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FFC
2 - 5
POR
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PBE
1 - 1
FFC
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 4
IMB
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
TUB
34%
23%
44%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
4 - 1
FFC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |