Pompei vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
73.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+482%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
16º
16º
6
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 61 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 57 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 55 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 51 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
8º
|
3.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 19 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 56% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
58% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pompei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKR
0 - 1
POM
86%
10%
5%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POM
0 - 1
PAT
13%
18%
70%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USV
0 - 1
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
SIR
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 2
AGR
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +5 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
ASD
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
5 - 0
ACI
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |