FC Pipinsried vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
10º
8º
22
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Pipinsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 1
KIR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 0
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 1
RAI
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TSA
1 - 0
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 1
FCP
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VRG
0 - 2
HEI
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ISM
5 - 0
VRG
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VRG
2 - 2
KOT
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VRG
0 - 1
SON
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
KIR
3 - 0
VRG
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |