Phönix Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
1 - 0
HAM
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
STP
0 - 3
FCP
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
DRO
3 - 0
FCP
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 1
WEI
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
0 - 3
FCP
19%
19%
61%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 1
DRO
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WEI
3 - 1
HOL
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
HOL
2 - 1
HEI
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 0
HOL
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HOL
0 - 1
OTT
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |