Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
14º
6º
19
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 1
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
LUB
65%
20%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 1
HAM
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 4
OTT
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 0
EIN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 2
LUB
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JED
1 - 2
EIN
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |