Perafita vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perafita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 0
PER
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PER
0 - 2
BOA
14%
23%
63%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
PER
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 1
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
GON
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | +3 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
AMA
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COI
4 - 1
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
SCF
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GDR
1 - 1
SOU
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 1
SOU
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |