Passau vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
PSR
1 - 1
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
1 - 1
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
WEI
0 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
4 - 3
MEM
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
QUF
3 - 0
FCP
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
BAY
3 - 3
JFO
26%
26%
48%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
PSR
3 - 3
BAY
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
BAY
2 - 5
LAN
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
WEI
5 - 0
BAY
57%
23%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
BAY
2 - 2
MEM
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |