Passau vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Passau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
FCP
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
MEM
2 - 2
FCP
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
FCP
3 - 3
GRO
28%
23%
50%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
TSV
0 - 2
FCP
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 2
ANS
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WEI
2 - 0
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |