FC Paradiso vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
3º
1º
40
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
4 - 1
KOS
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
USC
5 - 1
FCP
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 0
BAD
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
UZW
0 - 0
WIN
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
FCG
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 3
WIN
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 2
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 4
WIN
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |