FC Paradiso vs Hongg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
3º
1º
37
5º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 3
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
UZW
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KRE
0 - 4
FCP
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
5 - 1
FCW
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 1
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HON
1 - 2
WIN
18%
23%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
HON
2 - 1
ESC
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 4
HON
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UZW
2 - 1
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HON
1 - 2
KOS
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |