FC Paradiso vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
3º
1º
32
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 1
MEN
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 0
FCP
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
FCP
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 0
LUG
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 0
FCP
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 0
FCG
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KRE
3 - 2
ESC
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
UZW
38%
23%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 1
FCW
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 1
ESC
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |