Pakila vs LePa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LePa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
LEP
0 - 2
PEP
32%
21%
47%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
LEP
5 - 0
IFK
28%
23%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
PON
1 - 3
LEP
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
LEP
2 - 3
KAP
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
JAP
1 - 3
LEP
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |