Otepää vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
OTE
3 - 0
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
EMU
1 - 9
OTE
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
OTE
1 - 1
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
SJK
3 - 10
OTE
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
RDO
0 - 5
OTE
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
KIV
1 - 0
TAL
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TAL
3 - 1
TIN
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 3
TAL
23%
22%
56%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TAL
3 - 2
LEV
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 0
TAL
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |