TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
ALM
3 - 0
FCO
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
FCO
3 - 1
EIN
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
MVV
4 - 0
FCO
36%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
FCO
1 - 2
VOL
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
NEC
3 - 0
FCO
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
47%
23%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
RJC
1 - 4
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BOS
3 - 3
EXC
30%
25%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
5 - 4
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |