TOP Oss vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
ZWO
5 - 0
FCO
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
FCO
0 - 1
HEL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCE
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
BVV
6 - 1
FCO
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 3
RBC
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCE
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BVV
1 - 1
EXC
28%
23%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 2
RBC
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
ADO
4 - 2
EXC
26%
23%
51%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 1
EXC
40%
24%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |