FC Ordino vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
8º
7º
12
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 46 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 44 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 30 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCO
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
INT
3 - 0
FCO
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCO
0 - 1
SCO
17%
23%
61%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FCO
2 - 1
LAM
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 1
FCO
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
INT
6 - 0
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 1
PEN
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCR
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
UES
2 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAC
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |