Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 0
FCC
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
NEF
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
DIN
0 - 2
OLY
10%
20%
71%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 1
LAD
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
NOS
4 - 0
OLY
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Volga Ulyanovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
NOS
1 - 2
VOL
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 0
ZEN
30%
30%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 0
DIN
77%
17%
6%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LAD
2 - 2
VOL
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 3
NOS
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |