Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rubin Kazán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
16º
16º
10
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
NPA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
FKA
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 4
YEN
43%
25%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
OLY
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rubin Kazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 4
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 1
YEN
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
2 - 2
FCR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 1
KAM
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
SOC
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |