Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Khimki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
16º
16º
6
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 45% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
OLY
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TER
4 - 1
OLY
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 3
CSK
12%
22%
66%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 4
FCR
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
NPA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Khimki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 3
KHI
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
GAZ
28%
23%
50%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 3
SPA
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 1
DMK
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 2
KRS
36%
24%
40%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |