Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
66.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
16º
16º
13
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 4
FCR
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
NPA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
FKA
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 4
YEN
43%
25%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
OLY
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 0
CSK
31%
25%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
4 - 0
BEO
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
YAR
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |