Oerlikon / Polizei vs Subingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 6
FCO
14%
20%
65%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 4
FRE
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
HON
2 - 1
FCO
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 2
SEE
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCO
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SUB
0 - 1
GUM
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
LAU
4 - 0
SUB
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SUB
2 - 2
POR
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
NOB
3 - 2
SUB
84%
12%
4%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 1
FCH
21%
23%
56%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |