Oerlikon / Polizei vs Sirnach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SEU
2 - 0
FCO
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCO
4 - 2
ALT
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SVS
0 - 1
FCO
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WID
3 - 3
FCO
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 1
MEL
51%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 3
CHU
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
6 - 1
SIR
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SIR
2 - 2
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 1
SIR
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 2
TOW
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |