Oerlikon / Polizei vs Seefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 4
FCO
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCO
3 - 4
KOS
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 0
FCO
18%
22%
61%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RSZ
0 - 1
FCO
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 1
KUS
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Seefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SEE
1 - 2
DIE
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCW
1 - 0
SEE
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SEE
4 - 2
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SEE
5 - 0
FCE
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCW
0 - 0
SEE
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |