Oerlikon / Polizei vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCO
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
4 - 6
KOS
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KRU
3 - 1
FCO
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 3
DUL
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 1
FCO
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIE
5 - 1
MUT
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BIN
2 - 2
LIE
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LAU
2 - 2
LIE
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 1
KOS
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
KRU
4 - 0
LIE
35%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |