Oerlikon / Polizei vs Hongg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SEE
0 - 1
FCO
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
0 - 2
FCL
57%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCO
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 1
FCT
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DUL
0 - 4
FCO
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HON
3 - 2
FCW
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
KUS
0 - 0
HON
38%
23%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HON
3 - 2
FCW
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RSZ
5 - 2
HON
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
HON
3 - 0
KOS
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |