Oerlikon / Polizei vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 3
FCO
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 3
FCO
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 1
SIR
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SEU
2 - 0
FCO
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCO
4 - 2
ALT
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 1
CHU
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOW
86%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 0
FRE
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 0
FCP
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
FRE
35%
22%
44%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |