Oerlikon / Polizei vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 3
DIE
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 1
FCO
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 1
SEE
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UZU
5 - 0
FCO
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 2
RSZ
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MUT
1 - 3
DOR
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 1
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 4
DOR
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DOR
4 - 1
KOS
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KRU
2 - 1
DOR
28%
23%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |