Oerlikon / Polizei vs Chur 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
LIN
4 - 0
FCO
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 1
FRA
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 5
FRE
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 3
FCO
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 3
FCO
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 2
CHU
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CHU
4 - 0
FCP
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CHU
2 - 0
LIN
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 1
CHU
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 6
CHU
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |