Oberdorf vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 1
FCO
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCF
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
3 - 3
FCO
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 6
NEX
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 5
FCO
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
7 - 0
FCE
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LYS
1 - 2
MOU
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 0
FCC
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 1
MOU
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
LAU
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |