Nürnberg vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
FRE
0 - 0
FCN
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
FCN
2 - 1
SGF
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 2
FCN
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1978 |
FCN
3 - 2
BAY
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 2
FCN
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
WUR
2 - 1
WAL
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
WWO
3 - 0
WUR
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
WUR
2 - 2
BAU
42%
23%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 0
WUR
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
WUR
1 - 2
AUG
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |