Nürnberg vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
BUR
1 - 3
FCN
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
FRE
0 - 3
FCN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
FCN
3 - 0
SAA
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
FCN
1 - 2
HOM
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
FCN
6 - 0
FSV
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
WUR
3 - 5
FSV
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
DAR
3 - 1
WUR
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
WUR
1 - 3
MTV
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
KSC
1 - 1
WUR
78%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
WUR
2 - 2
WWO
34%
30%
37%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |